Nick Bjugstad vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%). Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Johnston 49.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Bjugstad
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Bjugstad
Johnston
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Bjugstad
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
4
9
Bjugstad
Johnston
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
49.1% (2,232)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
52.5% (179)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.7% (237)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Bjugstad shoots right. Johnston is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Johnston
Home
49.8% (4,023)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Bjugstad
Johnston
P1
48.9%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
48.1%
P3
48.5%
48.6%
OT
61.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |