Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Zacha 50.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 61.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Bonino
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Bonino
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
48.0% (296)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
61.0% (59)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
50.0% (22)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Bonino
Zacha
Home
48.2% (461)
48.9% (223)
Away
54.5% (464)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Bonino
Zacha
P1
54.1%
47.9%
P2
49.7%
48.3%
P3
50.7%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 03:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |