Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Foligno 49.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 86.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 65.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Lazar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lazar
Foligno
Last 7: Lazar 2-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Lazar
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
47.0% (202)
+6.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.9% (95)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
40.9% (22)
+0.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Lazar shoots right. Foligno is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Lazar
Foligno
Home
53.1% (211)
50.6% (162)
Away
48.7% (150)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Lazar
Foligno
P1
45.3%
48.9%
P2
52.8%
47.8%
P3
54.7%
53.8%
OT
60.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |