Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.6%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Foligno
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Foligno
Suzuki
Last 10: Foligno 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
8
Foligno
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
1
Foligno
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
51.3% (945)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.7% (282)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
40.3% (67)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Foligno
Suzuki
Home
48.9% (178)
51.0% (637)
Away
50.7% (209)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Foligno
Suzuki
P1
43.0%
53.1%
P2
55.9%
47.4%
P3
50.0%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |