Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Foligno wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Foligno
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Foligno
Suzuki
Last 10: Foligno 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
11
Foligno
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
9
3
Foligno
Suzuki
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Foligno
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,840)
49.4% (6,368)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.3% (731)
50.8% (1,355)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (457)
44.0% (466)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Foligno shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Foligno
Suzuki
Home
49.9% (2,013)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
47.2% (2,017)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Foligno
Suzuki
P1
47.8%
48.9%
P2
50.5%
49.1%
P3
48.2%
50.3%
OT
29.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |