Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Cates 45.5% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 69.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Foligno
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
45.5% (756)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
42.1% (114)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
44.7% (47)
+2.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Foligno shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Foligno
Cates
Home
48.9% (178)
46.2% (468)
Away
50.7% (209)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Foligno
Cates
P1
43.0%
46.0%
P2
55.9%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%