Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Foligno wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 60.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Foligno
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Foligno
Thomas
Last 10: Foligno 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
6
Foligno
Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Foligno
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
4
Foligno
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,840)
51.1% (5,387)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.3% (731)
55.8% (927)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (457)
50.2% (697)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Foligno shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thomas
Home
49.9% (2,013)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
47.2% (2,017)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Foligno
Thomas
P1
47.8%
50.7%
P2
50.5%
53.0%
P3
48.2%
50.8%
OT
29.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |