Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Hartman 45.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
45.1% (874)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
47.4% (95)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
37.5% (16)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
48.9% (178)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
43.0%
47.3%
P2
55.9%
40.1%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |