Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Foligno wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Hartman 45.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 82.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 64.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 74.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Foligno
Hartman
Last 10: Foligno 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
2
Foligno
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
5
1
Foligno
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,840)
45.2% (4,279)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.3% (731)
47.3% (446)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (457)
42.4% (262)
+1.6%
On power play, Foligno has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
49.9% (2,013)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
47.2% (2,017)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
47.8%
46.1%
P2
50.5%
42.9%
P3
48.2%
46.7%
OT
29.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |