Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 74.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Foligno
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
57.1% (368)
-7.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
55.2% (96)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
50.0% (10)
-2.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
48.9% (178)
53.9% (230)
Away
50.7% (209)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
43.0%
56.7%
P2
55.9%
54.1%
P3
50.0%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%