Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Paul
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
45.9% (697)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
47.9% (117)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
48.0% (25)
+4.9%
On power play, Paul has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Paul
Schmaltz
Home
55.1% (216)
44.9% (434)
Away
53.6% (233)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Paul
Schmaltz
P1
54.9%
41.5%
P2
54.5%
46.7%
P3
54.3%
51.1%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%