Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 52.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 75.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Paul
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Paul
Schmaltz
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
5
Paul
Schmaltz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
0
Paul
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
41.3% (3,431)
+11.3%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
47.3% (655)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
47.4% (135)
-0.5%
On even strength, Paul has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Paul shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Paul
Schmaltz
Home
52.8% (2,445)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Paul
Schmaltz
P1
53.8%
41.3%
P2
51.0%
42.8%
P3
52.2%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |