Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Greig 51.1% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 69.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 52.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Paul
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
51.9% (347)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
66.7% (24)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
44.8% (87)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Paul
Greig
Home
55.1% (216)
50.4% (254)
Away
53.6% (233)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Paul
Greig
P1
54.9%
45.9%
P2
54.5%
60.1%
P3
54.3%
49.2%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%