Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Greig 49.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 78.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 73.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Paul
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Paul
Greig
Last 10: Paul 8-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
1
Paul
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
0
Paul
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
48.7% (1,144)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
56.8% (74)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
47.2% (178)
-0.3%
On even strength, Paul has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Paul
Greig
Home
52.8% (2,445)
49.9% (688)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Paul
Greig
P1
53.8%
46.0%
P2
51.0%
51.8%
P3
52.2%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |