Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Hintz 58.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 50.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Paul
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paul
Hintz
Last 5: Paul 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Paul
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Paul
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
58.7% (530)
-5.0%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
59.4% (170)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
66.7% (27)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
55.1% (216)
60.2% (354)
Away
53.6% (233)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
54.9%
58.4%
P2
54.5%
59.8%
P3
54.3%
58.2%
OT
44.4%
81.8%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Nick Paul |