Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Hintz 53.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 56.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Paul
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Paul
Hintz
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Paul
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Paul
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
53.8% (3,722)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
55.4% (567)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
52.9% (221)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
52.8% (2,445)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
53.8%
55.5%
P2
51.0%
53.9%
P3
52.2%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |