Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Hartman 45.6% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 78.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 78.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 70.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Paul
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paul
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
45.1% (874)
+8.6%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
47.4% (95)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
37.5% (16)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
55.1% (216)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.6% (233)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
54.9%
47.3%
P2
54.5%
40.1%
P3
54.3%
48.3%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |