Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Hartman 45.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 67.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 82.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Paul
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Paul
Hartman
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
6
Paul
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
1
Paul
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
3
Paul
Hartman
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
45.2% (4,279)
+7.4%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
47.3% (446)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
42.4% (262)
+4.5%
On power play, Paul has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
52.8% (2,445)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
53.8%
46.1%
P2
51.0%
42.9%
P3
52.2%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |