Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs McLeod 47.4% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Paul 61.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Paul
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
49.0% (827)
+4.7%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
44.0% (91)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
43.0% (272)
+9.9%
On power play, Paul has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Paul
McLeod
Home
55.1% (216)
48.5% (619)
Away
53.6% (233)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Paul
McLeod
P1
54.9%
52.7%
P2
54.5%
43.9%
P3
54.3%
45.8%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%