Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Aho 50.5% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 68.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Paul
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
50.5% (878)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
53.5% (144)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
44.3% (61)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Paul
Aho
Home
55.1% (216)
53.8% (571)
Away
53.6% (233)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Paul
Aho
P1
54.9%
49.0%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
54.3%
50.3%
OT
44.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%