Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+13.0%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 55.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.1%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 51.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Paul
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
42.6% (54)
+11.1%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
33.3% (6)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
40.0% (15)
+12.9%
On power play, Paul has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Paul
Jarvis
Home
55.1% (216)
43.6% (39)
Away
53.6% (233)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Paul
Jarvis
P1
54.9%
36.0%
P2
54.5%
48.3%
P3
54.3%
36.8%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%