Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Blueger 48.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 63.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 73.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 72.3%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Paul
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Paul
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Paul
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
49.4% (265)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
66.7% (9)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
34.0% (50)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Paul
Blueger
Home
55.1% (216)
49.8% (215)
Away
53.6% (233)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Paul
Blueger
P1
54.9%
46.4%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
54.3%
44.8%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |