Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Blueger 50.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 74.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 62.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Paul
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Paul
Blueger
Last 10: Paul 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
2
Paul
Blueger
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
7
Paul
Blueger
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
4
2
Paul
Blueger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
52.2% (3,582)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
50.6% (77)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
42.7% (1,103)
+4.2%
On power play, Paul has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Paul
Blueger
Home
52.8% (2,445)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Paul
Blueger
P1
53.8%
49.2%
P2
51.0%
52.2%
P3
52.2%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |