Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Nosek 48.5% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 51.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Paul
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
52.0% (102)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
100.0% (2)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
29.0% (31)
+23.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Paul
Nosek
Home
55.1% (216)
52.0% (50)
Away
53.6% (233)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Paul
Nosek
P1
54.9%
45.0%
P2
54.5%
42.0%
P3
54.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.7%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%