Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 66.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 67.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 69.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Paul
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paul
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
58.0% (666)
-4.3%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
64.8% (165)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
43.4% (152)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Paul
Trocheck
Home
55.1% (216)
55.3% (436)
Away
53.6% (233)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Paul
Trocheck
P1
54.9%
56.4%
P2
54.5%
58.7%
P3
54.3%
55.5%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |