Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 32-27 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 51.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 60.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Paul
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
32
(59 meetings)
27
32
Paul
Trocheck
Last 10: Paul 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
8
16
Paul
Trocheck
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
12
11
Paul
Trocheck
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
7
5
Paul
Trocheck
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
53.7% (10,944)
-1.1%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
60.9% (1,870)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
49.5% (1,472)
-2.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Paul shoots left. Trocheck is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,918).
Home / Away
Paul
Trocheck
Home
52.8% (2,445)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Paul
Trocheck
P1
53.8%
54.1%
P2
51.0%
54.7%
P3
52.2%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |