Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 96.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Staal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Staal
Schmaltz
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
4
Staal
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
0
Staal
Schmaltz
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
2
Staal
Schmaltz
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
41.3% (3,431)
+14.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
47.3% (655)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
47.4% (135)
+0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
56.4% (9,699)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
55.2%
41.3%
P2
55.9%
42.8%
P3
54.8%
43.1%
OT
56.2%
42.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |