Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Zacha 52.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 51.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 72.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 69.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Schmaltz
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
54.1% (534)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
56.0% (109)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
44.8% (96)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Zacha
Home
49.0% (206)
53.4% (406)
Away
49.4% (170)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Schmaltz
Zacha
P1
53.6%
56.8%
P2
46.2%
53.6%
P3
50.4%
49.2%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |