Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Thomas 51.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 84.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Schmaltz
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Schmaltz
Thomas
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Schmaltz
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
50.3% (652)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
61.5% (104)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
54.2% (120)
-6.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Schmaltz shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Thomas
Home
44.9% (434)
52.0% (400)
Away
47.7% (405)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Schmaltz
Thomas
P1
41.5%
49.6%
P2
46.7%
55.4%
P3
51.1%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |