Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 70.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 63.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Schmaltz
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
18
(35 meetings)
17
18
Schmaltz
Thomas
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
3
Schmaltz
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
7
4
Schmaltz
Thomas
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
11
Schmaltz
Thomas
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
51.1% (5,387)
-9.8%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
55.8% (927)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
50.2% (697)
-2.8%
On even strength, Thomas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Thomas
Home
42.8% (2,114)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Schmaltz
Thomas
P1
41.3%
50.7%
P2
42.8%
53.0%
P3
43.1%
50.8%
OT
42.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |