Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.3%). Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Donato 47.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.7%
Defensive zone
Donato 65.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Schmaltz
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Schmaltz
Donato
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
2
Schmaltz
Donato
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
46.8% (297)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
41.0% (39)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
100.0% (1)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Donato
Home
44.9% (434)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.7% (405)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Schmaltz
Donato
P1
41.5%
49.5%
P2
46.7%
45.7%
P3
51.1%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |