Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.4% vs Donato 45.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Schmaltz
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Schmaltz
Donato
Last 8: Schmaltz 5-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
1
Schmaltz
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Schmaltz
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (3,218)
44.4% (1,096)
-3.3%
Power Play
47.3% (637)
46.3% (240)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (125)
36.4% (11)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,877).
Schmaltz shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Donato
Home
42.7% (1,978)
47.7% (708)
Away
41.8% (2,002)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Schmaltz
Donato
P1
41.1%
43.5%
P2
42.6%
45.4%
P3
43.0%
44.4%
OT
42.4%
77.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |