Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Greene 43.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 90.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 63.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 62.7%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Schmaltz
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schmaltz
Greene
Last 5: Schmaltz 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
43.6% (512)
+2.3%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
46.8% (62)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
40.1% (167)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greene is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greene
Home
44.9% (434)
47.4% (382)
Away
47.7% (405)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greene
P1
41.5%
46.8%
P2
46.7%
37.6%
P3
51.1%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |