Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 42.8%). Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Greene 43.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.3%
Defensive zone
Greene 82.2%
Neutral zone
Greene 59.2%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Schmaltz
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schmaltz
Greene
Last 5: Schmaltz 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
43.2% (530)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
46.8% (62)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
40.1% (167)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greene is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greene
Home
42.8% (2,114)
47.4% (382)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greene
P1
41.3%
46.1%
P2
42.8%
37.6%
P3
43.1%
45.2%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |