Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs McLeod 47.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 83.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 75.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Schmaltz
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Schmaltz
McLeod
Last 7: Schmaltz 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
4
Schmaltz
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Schmaltz
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
49.0% (827)
-3.1%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
44.0% (91)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
43.0% (272)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
McLeod
Home
44.9% (434)
48.5% (619)
Away
47.7% (405)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Schmaltz
McLeod
P1
41.5%
52.7%
P2
46.7%
43.9%
P3
51.1%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |