Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs McLeod 49.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 87.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 70.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Schmaltz
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schmaltz
McLeod
Last 10: Schmaltz 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
5
Schmaltz
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Schmaltz
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
50.4% (3,376)
-9.1%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
50.7% (296)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
44.1% (644)
+3.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
McLeod
Home
42.8% (2,114)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Schmaltz
McLeod
P1
41.3%
50.8%
P2
42.8%
48.0%
P3
43.1%
50.0%
OT
42.4%
37.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |