Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.4%). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
46.0% (250)
-0.1%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
70.6% (17)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
31.8% (22)
+16.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.9% (434)
50.3% (175)
Away
47.7% (405)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
41.5%
48.5%
P2
46.7%
45.9%
P3
51.1%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |