Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
5
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
6
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
44.8% (8,775)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
50.6% (844)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
37.8% (880)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.8% (2,114)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
41.3%
45.1%
P2
42.8%
43.9%
P3
43.1%
45.2%
OT
42.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |