Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 91.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 90.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Schmaltz
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
22
(34 meetings)
12
22
Schmaltz
Monahan
Last 10: Schmaltz 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
3
Schmaltz
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
11
Schmaltz
Monahan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
8
Schmaltz
Monahan
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
51.1% (11,407)
-9.8%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
53.6% (2,582)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
45.9% (772)
+1.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Monahan
Home
42.8% (2,114)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Schmaltz
Monahan
P1
41.3%
51.0%
P2
42.8%
51.7%
P3
43.1%
51.0%
OT
42.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |