Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.7%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 72.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 76.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Schmaltz
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Schmaltz
Crosby
Last 5: Schmaltz 0-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Schmaltz
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Schmaltz
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Schmaltz
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
53.3% (1,025)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
64.7% (249)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
60.0% (15)
-12.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Crosby
Home
44.9% (434)
56.9% (675)
Away
47.7% (405)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Schmaltz
Crosby
P1
41.5%
55.1%
P2
46.7%
53.1%
P3
51.1%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |