Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Crosby 53.5% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 92.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 94.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 93.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Schmaltz
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Schmaltz
Crosby
Last 10: Schmaltz 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Schmaltz
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Schmaltz
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Schmaltz
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
52.8% (18,014)
-11.5%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
57.5% (4,738)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
47.0% (766)
+0.4%
On even strength, Crosby has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,669).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Crosby
Home
42.8% (2,114)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
52.0% (11,539)
By Period
Schmaltz
Crosby
P1
41.3%
53.6%
P2
42.8%
53.9%
P3
43.1%
53.3%
OT
42.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |