Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Novak 43.5% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 54.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 57.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Schmaltz
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
40.7% (460)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
61.5% (39)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Novak
Home
38.0% (184)
47.0% (236)
Away
43.5% (216)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Schmaltz
Novak
P1
40.3%
43.1%
P2
39.9%
43.1%
P3
40.7%
40.1%
Final 5 min
41.6%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.2%