Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Schmaltz
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
42.9% (198)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
40.9% (22)
+9.6%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Novak
Home
49.0% (206)
40.9% (110)
Away
49.4% (170)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Schmaltz
Novak
P1
53.6%
39.1%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
50.4%
44.9%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.7%