Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Greig 51.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 78.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 78.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 60.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Suzuki
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Suzuki
Greig
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
1
Suzuki
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
7
Suzuki
Greig
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
51.9% (347)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
66.7% (24)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
44.8% (87)
-4.5%
On power play, Greig has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Greig
Home
51.0% (637)
50.4% (254)
Away
50.2% (657)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Suzuki
Greig
P1
53.1%
45.9%
P2
47.4%
60.1%
P3
51.3%
49.2%
OT
48.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |