Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Greig 49.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 32-18 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 82.9%
Neutral zone
Greig 54.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Suzuki
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
32
(50 meetings)
18
32
Suzuki
Greig
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
11
3
Suzuki
Greig
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
22
Suzuki
Greig
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
7
Suzuki
Greig
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
48.7% (1,144)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
56.8% (74)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
47.2% (178)
-3.2%
On power play, Greig has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Suzuki shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Greig
Home
51.1% (4,031)
49.9% (688)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Suzuki
Greig
P1
48.9%
46.0%
P2
49.1%
51.8%
P3
50.3%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |