Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Suzuki wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Thomas 51.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 58.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 67.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Suzuki
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Suzuki
Thomas
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
2
Suzuki
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
6
Suzuki
Thomas
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
4
Suzuki
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
50.3% (652)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
61.5% (104)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
54.2% (120)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Suzuki shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thomas
Home
51.0% (637)
52.0% (400)
Away
50.2% (657)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Suzuki
Thomas
P1
53.1%
49.6%
P2
47.4%
55.4%
P3
51.3%
51.0%
OT
48.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |