Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 36-32 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 51.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Suzuki
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
36
(68 meetings)
32
36
Suzuki
Thomas
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
13
6
Suzuki
Thomas
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
15
Suzuki
Thomas
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
9
15
Suzuki
Thomas
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
51.1% (5,387)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
55.8% (927)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
50.2% (697)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Suzuki shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thomas
Home
51.1% (4,031)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Suzuki
Thomas
P1
48.9%
50.7%
P2
49.1%
53.0%
P3
50.3%
50.8%
OT
44.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |