Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Carrick 54.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 82.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Suzuki
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Suzuki
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
55.5% (470)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
66.7% (3)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
50.0% (58)
-9.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
51.0% (637)
58.6% (261)
Away
50.2% (657)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
53.1%
55.9%
P2
47.4%
53.5%
P3
51.3%
55.6%
OT
48.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |