Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 88.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 61.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 62.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Suzuki
Carrick
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
2
Suzuki
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
6
Suzuki
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
52.2% (2,544)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
61.3% (75)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
50.8% (435)
-6.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
51.1% (4,031)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
48.9%
51.8%
P2
49.1%
52.3%
P3
50.3%
52.6%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |