Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 66.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Suzuki
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Suzuki
Monahan
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
1
Suzuki
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Suzuki
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
53.0% (874)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
54.7% (161)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
47.5% (101)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Monahan
Home
51.0% (637)
53.8% (558)
Away
50.2% (657)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Suzuki
Monahan
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
47.4%
54.8%
P3
51.3%
52.8%
OT
48.6%
61.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |